Last July, I reviewed Main Street Capital (NYSE: MAIN) for dividend safety. The company received an “A” rating. Now that more than a year has passed, is the dividend just as safe?
Main Street Capital is a business development company, or BDC. It invests in or lends money to privately held companies.
Its portfolio companies include…
- IG Holdings, an 82-year-old company based in Providence, Rhode Island, that designs insignias
- PPL RVs, which has been around since 1972
- Willis Group, which provides staffing and recruitment services and is based in Houston.
When we measure dividend safety for BDCs, we use a metric of cash flow called net interest income, or NII.
Main Street Capital’s NII has been steadily rising for a number of years.
In 2024, NII rose 3% from $384 million to $395 million. This year, NII is projected to grow 11% to $438 million.
By law, BDCs must pay out 90% of their profits to shareholders in the form of dividends. NII is different from profits, but as a result of that law, BDCs often pay out all or nearly all of their NII in dividends.
For that reason, I’m comfortable with a payout ratio of 100% of NII or lower. If it’s above 100%, the company isn’t generating enough cash flow to pay the dividend. But as long as it’s below 100%, that’s okay.
Last year, Main Street Capital paid shareholders $320 million, or 81% of NII. This year, the forecast is $362 million, which comes out to a safe payout ratio of 83%.
Main Street also continues to pay a special dividend each quarter. For the past two years, the quarterly special dividend was $0.30 per share.
We don’t take into account the special dividend when determining dividend safety, because it is an irregular dividend (even though Main Street has been paying it consistently for a while now).
We only consider the regular dividend, which is $0.255 paid each month. That comes out to a 4.7% yield. Add in the $0.30 special dividend, and the yield climbs to 6.5%.
Main Street has raised the monthly dividend every year since 2011.
Given its stellar dividend-paying track record, steady NII growth, and reasonable payout ratio, Main Street Capital’s dividend remains very safe.
Dividend Safety Rating: A
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