The Beige Book, officially titled the “Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions,” is a report published eight times a year by the Federal Reserve. The latest report was released this week and provides hints as to the health of the economy. The data provides insights into regional economic trends and is used by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to inform monetary policy decisions.
The Beige Book is a Qualitative Report
Unlike many economic indicators that rely on hard data, like GDP, inflation rates, or job numbers, the Beige Book is a qualitative report. It’s based on interviews and observations gathered from business leaders, bankers, economists, and community contacts across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts. These anecdotal insights are compiled to offer a real-time snapshot of how the economy feels on the ground.
The Beige Book can reveal early signs of change, such as shifts in consumer confidence, wage pressure, or hiring slowdowns, before they fully show up in the numbers. It’s like a weather report for the economy’s mood.
Key Highlights from the June 2025 Beige Book
The latest report, like the last one in April, indicates an outlook that is “slightly pessimistic and uncertain.
Economic Activity: The report indicated that U.S. economic activity has declined in recent weeks, with only three of the twelve Fed districts reporting growth. This is a significant change from January, when all twelve districts reported growth.
Tariffs and Price Pressures: Rising tariffs and cost pressures have led to widespread expectations of accelerating prices. Businesses are facing challenges in forecasting and are altering product offerings due to trade policy uncertainties.
Labor Market: Employment remains largely flat but varies by sector and location. Some districts reported hiring pauses due to economic uncertainty.
Business Leaders Are Uncertain: Business and community leaders are said to be feeling uncertainty about the future.
Consumer Confidence is a Mixed Landscape: The Beige Book indicates that consumer spending has been uneven across the country. While some Federal Reserve Districts reported slight increases in spending, particularly on items expected to be affected by tariffs, most noted slight declines or no change in consumer spending. This cautious behavior reflects underlying concerns about economic and policy uncertainties.
Does the Beige Book Have Implications for Your Retirement Plan?
If You Have a Plan, Then No… You’re Already Prepared: If you’ve already built a detailed retirement plan, congratulations—you’ve likely accounted for uncertainty. The Boldin Planner enables you to:
- Stress test
- Build contingency plans for downturns, inflation, and market volatility
- Maintain a plan that flexes when you need it to and evolves with your changing needs
That means economic reports like the Beige Book shouldn’t cause panic or trigger sudden shifts. Just stick to your plan and make updates to your financial profile as your situation changes to maintain flexibility.
Don’t Have a Plan? If you don’t have a plan yet, now’s the time to think about a few key questions:
- What happens to your income if the market dips for a few years?
- How protected are your essential expenses?
- Do you have a buffer to avoid withdrawing investments at a loss?
- Are you factoring in inflation and policy uncertainty?
The Boldin Retirement Planner can help you model all of this, giving you a clear view of where you stand and how to build in the resilience your future self will appreciate.